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Group I

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ResearchIndustry Insights2026-10-12

Base Oil Import Substitution Accelerates as East China Refinery Runs Fall to 62.3%

East China base oil refinery utilization falls to 62.3% (industry consensus), while Brent at $103.30/bbl and USD/CNY at 6.6929 push landed import cost to ¥3,650/t — ¥420/t below domestic mainstream price. Fuel oil +2.0% signals marginal pressure on heavy-oil processing; lubricant blenders shift to bonded-zone imported base stocks.